2013年第三季度罗马尼亚房地产市场研究报告——Romania Real Estate Report Q3 2013

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关键字: |Real Estate|

2013-5-22


Abstract

Executive Summary
As of Q313, Russia is continuing to procure new equipment and to gradually professionalise its army. One
of the most ambitious procurement programmes is occurring in the country's air force, which is purchasing
hundreds of new warplanes, special mission aircraft and freighters over the next decade, with this force
modernisation expected to conclude by 2020. In addition, the Russian army is planning to replace a wide
range of its current armoured vehicle fleet with a family of modular platforms that can be configured
according to the missions that they are to perform. Moreover, the navy is acquiring new vessels, although of
all of Russia's armed services, the navy seems to have the least ambitious procurement plans in terms of
platform acquisition. Other important changes to the Russian military that have been outlined in BMI's
Q313 report include the planned activation of a cyber warfare unit in the Russian army to protect the
country against cyber attacks, and to wage cyber warfare.
BMI has made a number of changes to its views since the publication of the Q213 report:
■ Updates regarding all the major procurement programmes for the Russian Air Force and Russian Navy.
■ News regarding recent developments across several major Russian military procurement initiatives.

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View ... 7
SWOT  8
Political . 10
Economic ..... 11
Business Environment  12
Industry Forecast .. 13
Industrial .... 16
Table: Forecast Rents - (EUR per m2/month)      . . 16
Table: Forecast Net Yield, 2010-2017 (%). 16
Retail ... 16
Table: Forecast Rents - (EUR per m2/month)      . . 16
Table: Forecast Net Yield, 2010-2017 (%). 17
Office ... 17
Table: Forecast Rents - (EUR per m2/month)      . . 17
Table: Forecast Net Yield, 2010-2017 (%). 17
Construction and Infrastructure Forecast Scenario .... 18
Table: Romania Construction and Infrastructure Industry Data, 2011 - 2016     18
Table: Romania Construction and Infrastructure Industry Data, 2017 - 2022     20
Macroeconomic Forecasts ..... 24
Economic Analysis ..... 24
Table: Romania - Economic Activity . . . 29
Industry Risk Reward Ratings  30
Europe Risk Reward Ratings .... 30
Table: Europe Real Estate Risk/Reward Ratings     . . . 30
Romania Risk Reward Ratings . 30
Rewards ..... 31
Risks .... 31
Market Overview ... 33
Office .... 34
Table: Historic Rents, 2011-2012, (EUR per m2/month)   . . . 36
Table: Net Yield, 2011-2012, (%)  . . . 36
Table: Terms of Rental Contract/ Leases, H212      36
Retail .... 37
Table: Historic Rents - 2011-2012 (EUR per m2/month)   . . 38
Table: Net Yield, 2011-2012 (%)  . . . 39
Table: Terms of Rental Contract/ Leases - H212     . . . 39
Retail Sales Indicators  39
Table: Retail Sales Indicators, 2011-2017. . 39
Industrial ..... 40
Table: Historic Rents - 2011-2012 (EUR per m2/month)   . . 40
Table: Net Yield, 2011-2012 (%)  . . . 40
Table: Terms of Rental Contract/ Leases - H212     . . . 41
Competitive Landscape .... 42
Company Profile .... 45
TriGranit ..... 45
Demographic Forecast ..... 47
Table: Romania's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) . . . 48
Table: Romania's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total). 49
Table: Romania's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020    . 50
Table: Romania's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020  . . . 50
Methodology .... 51
Construction Industry ..... 52
Bank Lending .... 53
Real Estate/Construction Business Environment Rating ... 53
Table: Weighting Of Indicators   . 54
Sources  56

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