2013年第三季度泰国可再生能源研究报告——Thailand Renewables Report Q3 2013

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关键字: |Renewables|

2013-5-22


Abstract

BMI View: We have revised up our 2013 forecasts for solar energy generation and capacity this quarter to
account for a surge in solar projects, while maintaining our forecasts for wind and biomass energy. We
expect this trend to continue over the medium- to long-term, and have made similar revisions to our longterm
forecasts. That said, we still believe that the government is overly bullish in its target and forecasts for
renewable energy. As such, we see room for improvement in regulatory conditions and the business
environment for renewable energy.
We have revised up our 2013 forecasts for solar energy generation and capacity this quarter to account for a
surge in solar projects, while maintaining our forecasts for wind and biomass energy. We had revised up our
wind energy forecasts in our previous analysis in January to account for the completion of Wind Energy
Holding's (WEH) second wind farm in Nakhon Ratchasima (see our online service, January 31 2013,
'Strong Pipeline Support Renewables Growth'). Since then, we have not seen any other material
developments in the wind or biomass sectors.

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View ... 5
SWOT  6
Industry Forecast .... 8
Thailand Renewables Forecast Scenario .. 8
Table: Thailand Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts, 2011 - 2016    . . . 8
Table: Thailand Total Electricity Generation Long Term Forecasts, 2017 - 2022    . 9
Table: Thailand Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts, 2011 - 2016   . . 11
Table: Table: Thailand Electricity Generating Capacity Long Term Forecasts, 2017 - 2022 . 12
Thailand Renewables Projects Database  16
Table: Thailand Major Projects - Renewables      . 16
Industry Risk Reward Ratings  19
Rewards ..... 19
Risks .... 19
Market Overview ... 20
Sustainable Energy Policy and Infrastructure ..... 20
Targets (Renewables and Emissions) ... 20
Subsidies .... 20
Table: Renewable Feed-In Tariffs In Thailand, 2010    . . 21
Infrastructure .... 22
Competitive Landscape .... 23
Electricity Generating Authority Of Thailand (EGAT) ..... 23
EGCO .. 24
Glow Energy ..... 24
Ratchaburi Electricity Generating Holding Public Company Limited (RATCH) . 24
Wind Energy Holdings (WEH)  25
Glossary ..... 26
Table: Glossary of Terms    . . . 26
Methodology .... 27
Methodology and Sources . 27
Industry Forecasts .... 27
Renewables Industry - Data Methodology ... 28
Power Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology ... 29
Table: Power Risk/Reward Indicators . . 31
Sources  32

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