Ukraine Agribusiness Report Q3 2013

纸介版价格:美元/篇 页数:106页上传日期:2013-07-12
电子版价格:1295美元/篇
纸介版+电子版价格:美元 附件下载:               
关键字: |Agribusiness|

2013-5-22


Abstract

BMI View: We continue to favour the grain sector in the country as we see more growth opportunities for
production and more diversity in export demand. While the country's poultry exports have just been
authorised by the EU, which will support export growth over the medium term, we do not see a similar
opening for dairy exports in the near term and therefore see weaker growth coming strictly from domestic
demand. In fact, we have revised down our outlook for growth for the country in the near term and believe
this will particularly impact demand for meat and dairy products, as they tend to be considered less staple
than grain. We highlight MHP's strong growth potential as the main beneficiary in our positive outlook for
the local poultry industry.
Key Forecasts
■ Corn production growth to 2016/17: 2.2% to 23.0mn tonnes. We believe production growth will stall
in the coming years as it has reached record in recent years. As a result, we believe that the country will
only manage to leave production around current levels or slightly higher. Production will be stimulated
by increased import demand from China.
■ Poultry consumption growth to 2016/17: 14.0% to 955,000 tonnes. Poultry demand will benefit from
improving domestic income conditions as well as its preferred status as a cheaper and healthier
alternative to red meat.

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View ... 7
Key Forecasts  8
Industry Outlook .. 8
SWOT  9
Agribusiness ... 9
Business Environment  11
Industry Forecast .. 12
Grains Outlook ... 12
Table: Ukraine Wheat Production & Consumption  13
Table: UKRAINE Corn Production & Consumption . . . 13
Table: UKRAINE Barley Production & Consumption . 13
Table: UKRAINE Wheat Production & Consumption . . 17
Table: UKRAINE Corn Production & Consumption . . . 17
Table: UKRAINE Barley Production & Consumption . 17
Dairy Outlook ..... 19
Table: UKRAINE Milk Production & Consumption  20
Table: UKRAINE Butter Production & Consumption . . 20
Table: UKRAINE Cheese Production & Consumption . 20
Other Side Of The Storm .. 22
Ukraine/Russia Cheese Dispute Benefits Danone ..... 22
A Growing Force On The Ukrainian Market ..... 23
New Tax Code Threatens Small Producers .. 23
Table: UKRAINE Milk Production & Consumption  24
Table: UKRAINE Butter Production & Consumption . . 24
Table: UKRAINE Cheese Production & Consumption . 25
Risks To Outlook  25
Livestock Outlook  26
Table: UKRAINE Poultry Production & Consumption 27
Table: UKRAINE Pork Production & Consumption . . . 27
Table: UKRAINE Beef & Veal Production & Consumption       . . . 27
Booming Output & Exports To Benefit MHP ..... 28
Support To Farmers For Recent Disease Outbreak ... 30
Ukraine Bans Chinese Poultry Imports . 30
Russian Company Invests In Pig Industry ... 30
Table: UKRAINE Poultry Production & Consumption 31
Table: UKRAINE Pork Production & Consumption . . . 31
Table: UKRAINE Beef & Veal Production & Consumption       . . . 31
Commodity Price Analysis  33
Monthly Softs Update . 33
Table: Select Agricultural Commodities - Performance & BMI Forecasts    43
Table: BMI Commodities Strategy      . . 44
Monthly Grains Update .... 45
Table: Select Agricultural Commodities - Performance & BMI Forecasts    52
Table: BMI Commodities Strategy      . . 53
Upstream Analysis  54
Europe GM Outlook ... 54
Europe Machinery Outlook  59
Europe Fertiliser Outlook . 64
Downstream Analysis . 70
Food ..... 70
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017  . 71
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017 72
Table: Meat Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017       73
Table: Jams & Jellies Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017    . . . 74
Table: Pasta Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017       75
Table: Snack Foods Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017 . 77
Table: Dairy Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017       79
Drink .... 84
Table: Alcoholic Drinks Value/Volume Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-201785
Table: Soft Drinks Value/Volume Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017 . . 86
Table: Hot Drinks Value/Volume Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts     87
Mass Grocery Retail .. 88
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format - Historical Data & Forecasts   89
Table: Grocery Retail Sales By Format (%)    90
Table: Trade Indicators - Historical Data and Forecasts. 91
Regional Overview  92
Table: New Payment Schemes Under CAP Reforms . . . 93
Competitive Landscape .... 99
Table: Main Agribusiness Players      . . 99
Demographic Forecast ... 100
Table: Ukraine's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)      . . . 101
Table: Ukraine's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)     102
Table: Ukraine's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 . . 103
Table: Ukraine's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020       . . . 103
Methodology .. 104

定购方法
① 注册订购:
点击在线订购进行报告订购
我们的服务人员将在24小时内与您联系。

② 电话订购:
拔打电话
北京:400 0090050   010-82863481
24小时:13436696826
传真:010-82601570

上海:021-64871266
021-64872612
24小时:13524982235
传真:021-64872324

签订协议
可从网上下载报告订购表或由我们传真报告订购表或订购协议。
传真:010-82601570

付款方式
① 通过银行转帐的形式支付报告购买款项
② 我们收到款项后,24小时内快递报告或者发送报告邮件

③ 款项到帐后快递发票

银行电汇:
北京:
开户行:
上海浦东发展银行北京知春路支行
帐号:91170154740001300
户名:北京佐思信息咨询有限责任公司
外币汇款账户信息:
BENEFICIARY’S BANK (受益人银行名称):
SHANGHAI PUDONG DEVELOPMENT BANK, H.O. SHANGHAI, CHINA
SWIFT:
SPDBCNSH390
BENEFICIARY’S A/C NO. (受益人帐号):
911 701 547 4000 1300
BENEFICIARY’S NAME(受益人名称):
OKOKOK(ZUOSI) Information Consulting CO.,LTD
COMPANY ADDRESS:
Room 1008, Tower A2, Longrange World Office Building, No.18 Suzhou Street, Haidian District, Beijing China
REMARKS(附言):
SHANGHAI PUDONG DEVELOPMENT BANK, BEIJING BR.***SUB-BR
在线客服系统