United States Commercial Banking Report Q3 2013

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关键字: |Commercial Banking|

2013-5-22


Abstract

BMI’s commercial banking forecast series covers 62 countries accounting for 80% of global GDP. Each report, researched at source, features BMI’s independent assessment and 5-year forecasts to end-2017 for the commercial banking sector in each market. Using its expertise in both country risk and financial markets analysis, BMI has created exclusive models to forecast a wealth of key variables on the commercial banking sector. Historic and forecast data are provided for the sector’s total asset and liability growth, client loans, and client deposits. Forecasts for key ratios including the loan-deposit ratio and the loan-asset ratio are also included, as well as core macro-economic forecasts. Data is presented in both local currency and US dollar terms.

Each report examines key drivers of growth and future prospects, including the macroeconomic situation, the level of development and potential for growth of the banking sector, the commercial initiatives of major players, government policy and the regulatory environment.

Central to BMI’s analysis are our unique Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings. BMI’s unique country-comparative Risk-Reward Rating provides a clear, quantified, independent assessment of the opportunities and dangers of operating in each market. The methodology draws together our in-depth knowledge of competitive pressures, our comprehensive industry market forecasts, and our Country Risk team’s unrivalled analysis of economic, political and operational risks.

The reports also feature profiles of leading banks, covering total assets, liabilities, client deposits, lending, bond holdings, main products and services, competitive positioning and ownership structure.

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View ... 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators   . . 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Key Ratios, March 2013     . . 7
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections 2012-2017 (%). . . 7
Table: Ranking Out Of 62 Countries Reviewed In 2013 . 8
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators, 2010-20178
SWOT  9
Commercial Banking .... 9
Political . 10
Economic ..... 12
Business Environment  13
Industry Forecast .. 14
Risks To Outlook  18
Industry Risk Reward Ratings  19
Developed States Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Ratings ... 19
Table: Developed States Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings. . . 20
Market Overview ... 21
Developed States Commercial Banking Outlook .. 21
Table: Banks' Bond Portfolios, 2011     . . . 21
Table: Comparison of Loan/Deposit & Loan/Asset & Loan/GDP ratios, 2013. . . 22
Table: Comparison of Total Assets & Client Loans & Client Deposits (US$bn). . 23
Table: Comparison of US$ Per Capita Deposits, 2013 24
Economic Outlook ..... 25
GDP By Expenditure Breakdown .. 26
Risks To Outlook  32
Table: United States - GDP By Expenditure    33
Competitive Landscape .... 34
Market Structure . 34
Protagonists  34
Table: Protagonists In The US Commercial Banking Sector     . . 34
Definition Of The Commercial Banking Universe ..... 35
List Of Banks ..... 35
Table: Top 50 Bank Holding Companies In Terms Of Total Domestic Deposits. . 35
Company Profile .... 37
Bank of America .. 37
Table: Stock Market Indicators . 40
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) . 40
Table: Key Ratios (%)   . . 40
JPMorgan Chase . 41
Table: Stock Market Indicators . 43
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) . 43
Table: Key Ratios (%)   . . 44
Wells Fargo .. 45
Table: Stock Market Indicators . 47
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) . 48
Table: Key Ratios (%)   . . 48
Citigroup ..... 49
Table: Stock Market Indicators . 51
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) . 52
Table: Key Ratios (%)   . . 52
US Bancorp .. 53
Table: Stock Market Indicators . 55
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) . 55
Table: Key Ratios (%)   . . 56
BB&T Corporation .... 57
Table: Stock Market Indicators . 59
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) . 59
Table: Key Ratios (%)   . . 59
Global Industry Overview .. 60
Global Commercial Banking Outlook .... 60
Emerging Market Regional Outlooks ... 63
Demographic Forecast ..... 66
Table: The United States' Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)  . . . 67
Table: The United States' Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) . 68
Table: The United States' Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020     . 69
Table: The United States' Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020   . . 69
Methodology .... 70
Table: Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Rating Indicators And Rationale . . 72
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 73

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