2013年第三季度越南船舶市场研究报告——Vietnam Shipping Report Q3 2013

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关键字: |Shipping|

2013-5-22


Abstract

Vietnam's export outlook will continue to be bolstered by China's growth outlook over the short and
medium term. Although we project China's economic growth to slow over the medium term, the real GDP
growth is still robust, estimated at 7.5% in 2013 and 6.4% over the medium term, which should have a
beneficial impact on the shipping sector in Vietnam.
Vietnam plays a key role in China's coal supply chain. The country is China's fifth-largest coal exporter,
providing the country with the thermal coal it requires for its power stations. Vietnam's role in this supply
chain looks set to continue, although BMI highlights that China is trying to decrease its power sector's
reliance on coal. While we believe that coal-fired power plants' percentage in China's energy mix will slip
over the medium term, it will remain above 70%.

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View ... 7
SWOT .... 10
Shipping  10
Political . 12
Economic ..... 13
Business Environment  14
Industry Forecast .. 15
Port Of Ho Chi Minh City Throughput Outlook ... 15
Table: Major Port Data, 2010-2017 . . . 19
Table: Trade Overview, 2010-2017  20
Table: Key Trade Indicators, 2010-2017. . 20
Table: Main Import Partners (US$mn) 21
Table: Main Export Partners (US$mn) 22
Market Overview ... 23
Vietnam Container Shipping Market Overview .... 23
Industry Trends And Developments .. 30
Company Profile .... 35
Vietnam Petroleum Transport Company (VIPCO)  35
Vietnam National Shipping Lines (Vinalines)  37
Global Industry Overview - Container Shipping . 40
Demand: Slow Start To 2013 ... 40
Supply: Capacity To Outweigh Demand Uptick ... 48
Table: Top 20 Container Line Newbuild Plans      . 50
Rates: Alarm Bells Sounding .... 52
Table: 2012 And 2013 SCFI Europe Base Port Average Freight Rate Overview, Q112-Q113 60
Table: 2012 And 2013 SCFI USWC Base Port Average Freight Rate Overview, Q112-Q113 61
Global Industry Overview - Dry Bulk Shipping ... 62
Demand : Stimulus Benefit Dries Up, Tough Outlook Ahead .... 62
Supply: Fleet Expansion Slowing, But Overcapacity Still The Key Worry ..... 71
Table: Dry Bulk Vessel Class Overview 75
Global Industry Overview - Liquid Bulk Shipping ..... 76
Baltic Dirty Tanker Index Under Pressure .... 76
VLCCs Outlook ... 81
Bloomber Tanker Index story ... 83
Product Tankers .. 88
Global Company Strategy . 95
Maersk Line . 95
Mediterranean Shipping Company  104
CMA CGM . 111
Evergreen Line .. 119
COSCO Container Lines Company ..... 126
Macroeconomic Forecasts ... 133
Table: Vietnam - Economic Activity . . . 136
Demographic Forecast ... 137
Table: Vietnam's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) . . . 138
Table: Vietnam's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total). 139
Table: Vietnam's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020    . 140
Table: Vietnam's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020  . . 140

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