2013年第三季度澳大利亚可再生能源市场研究报告——Australia Renewables Report Q3 2013

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关键字: |Renewables|

2013-7-10


Abstract

BMI View: We have moderated our short- and long- term forecasts for non-hydropower renewable
capacity in light of new data and growing uncertainty regarding the outcome of the September federal
elections. At present, the main opposition party, the Liberal-National coalition (L-NP), appears poised to
win sufficient seats to form a ruling government. This is a bearish outcome for the renewables sector as the
L-NP has promised to abolish the carbon tax and reduce electricity prices.
This quarter, we have moderated our 2013 growth forecasts for non-hydropower renewable generation,
from 15.3% to 14.9%. This moderation was prompted by new 2012 data (which were just slightly off our
initial estimates) and growing uncertainty regarding the outcome of the September elections.

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View ... 5
SWOT  6
Industry Forecast .... 8
Australia Forecast . 8
Table: Australia Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts, 2011 - 2016    . . . 8
Table: Australia Total Electricity Generation Long Term Forecasts, 2017 - 2022    . 9
Table: Australia Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts, 2011 - 2016   . . 10
Table: Australia Electricity Generating Capacity Long Term Forecasts, 2017 - 2022   11
Australia Renewables Projects Database ..... 18
Table: Major Projects - Renewables  18
Industry Risk Reward Ratings  21
Australia Renewables Risk/Reward Ratings .. 21
Rewards ..... 21
Risks .... 21
Market Overview ... 23
Sustainable Energy Policy and Infrastructure ..... 23
Targets (Renewables and Emissions) ... 23
Subsidies .... 24
Table: Renewable Feed-In Tariffs In Australia, 2012    . . 24
Table: New Solar Credits Mechanism Multiplier     . . . 27
Infrastructure .... 27
Competitive Landscape .... 28
Hydro Tasmania  28
AGL Energy  29
Origin Energy ... 29
Solar Systems .... 29
Glossary ..... 30
Table: Glossary of Terms    . . . 30
Methodology .... 31
Methodology and Sources . 31
Industry Forecasts .... 31
Renewables Industry - Data Methodology ... 32
Power Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology ... 33
Table: Power Risk/Reward Indicators . . 35
Sources  36

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