2013年第三季度孟加拉商业银行研究报告——Bangladesh Commercial Banking Report Q3 2013

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关键字: |Commercial Banking|

2013-7-10


Abstract

BMI’s commercial banking forecast series covers 62 countries accounting for 80% of global GDP. Each report, researched at source, features BMI’s independent assessment and 5-year forecasts to end-2017 for the commercial banking sector in each market. Using its expertise in both country risk and financial markets analysis, BMI has created exclusive models to forecast a wealth of key variables on the commercial banking sector. Historic and forecast data are provided for the sector’s total asset and liability growth, client loans, and client deposits. Forecasts for key ratios including the loan-deposit ratio and the loan-asset ratio are also included, as well as core macro-economic forecasts. Data is presented in both local currency and US dollar terms.

Each report examines key drivers of growth and future prospects, including the macroeconomic situation, the level of development and potential for growth of the banking sector, the commercial initiatives of major players, government policy and the regulatory environment.

Central to BMI’s analysis are our unique Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings. BMI’s unique country-comparative Risk-Reward Rating provides a clear, quantified, independent assessment of the opportunities and dangers of operating in each market. The methodology draws together our in-depth knowledge of competitive pressures, our comprehensive industry market forecasts, and our Country Risk team’s unrivalled analysis of economic, political and operational risks.

The reports also feature profiles of leading banks, covering total assets, liabilities, client deposits, lending, bond holdings, main products and services, competitive positioning and ownership structure.

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View ... 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators   . 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Key Ratios, February 2013      . . . 7
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections 2012-2017 (%). . . 7
Table: Ranking Out Of 62 Countries Reviewed In 2013 . 8
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators, 2010-20178
SWOT  9
Commercial Banking .... 9
Political . 10
Economic ..... 11
Business Environment  12
Industry Forecast .. 13
Industry Risk Reward Ratings  17
Asia Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Ratings .. 17
Table: Asia Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings      . 18
Market Overview ... 19
Asia Commercial Banking Outlook . 19
Table: Banks' Bond Portfolios, 2012     . . . 19
Table: Comparison of Loan/Deposit & Loan/Asset & Loan/GDP ratios    . . 19
Table: Comparison of Total Assets & Client Loans & Client Deposits (US$bn)  . . 20
Table: Comparison of US$ Per Capita Deposits (2013). . . 21
Economic Analysis ..... 22
Competitive Landscape .... 28
Market Structure . 28
Protagonists  28
Table: Protagonists In Bangladesh's Commercial Banking Sector      28
Definition Of The Commercial Banking Universe ..... 28
List Of Banks .... 29
Table: Bangladesh Association Of Banks Members . . . 29
Company Profile .... 30
Islami Bank Bangladesh .... 30
Table: Stock Market Indicators       . 31
Table: Balance Sheet (BDTmn)       . 31
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn)       . 32
Table: Key Ratios (%) . . 32
Pubali Bank .. 33
Table: Stock Market Indicators       . 34
Table: Balance Sheet (BDTmn)       . 34
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn)       . 35
Table: Key Ratios (%) . . 35
National Bank ..... 36
Table: Stock Market Indicators       . 37
Table: Balance Sheet (BDTmn)       . 37
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn)       . 37
Table: Key Ratios (%) . . 38
Southeast Bank .... 39
Table: Stock Market Indicators       . 40
Table: Balance Sheet (BDTmn)       . 40
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn)       . 40
Table: Key Ratios (%) . . 41
The City Bank ..... 42
Table: Stock Market Indicators       . 43
Table: Balance Sheet (BDTmn)       . 43
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn)       . 43
Table: Key Ratios (%) . . 44
AB Bank  45
Table: Stock Market Indicators       . 45
Table: Balance Sheet (BDTmn)       . 46
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn)       . 46
Table: Key Ratios (%) . . 46
Dutch-Bangla Bank .... 47
Table: Stock Market Indicators       . 48
Table: Balance Sheet (BDTmn)       . 48
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn)       . 48
Table: Key Ratios (%) . . 49
Regional Overview  50
Asia Overview ..... 50
Financial Market Reforms A Crucial Element In Attracting FDI ... 51
Playing Catch-Up .... 52
Regional Integration To Spur Expansion .... 53
Global Industry Overview .. 55
Global Commercial Banking Outlook .... 55
Emerging Market Regional Outlooks ... 58
Demographic Forecast ..... 61
Table: Bangladesh's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)      62
Table: Bangladesh's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)    . . 63
Table: Bangladesh's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020. . 64
Table: Bangladesh's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020       64
Methodology .... 65
Table: Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Rating Indicators And Rationale   . . 67
Table: Weighting Of Indicators       68

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