2013年第三季度保加利亚房地产市场研究报告——Bulgaria Real Estate Report Q3 2013

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关键字: |Real Estate|

2013-7-10


Abstract

The Bulgaria Real Estate report examines the commercial office, retail, industrial and construction sectors
throughout the country in the context of continuing strife in the eurozone and its neighbouring countries.
With a focus on the country's principal cities of Sofia, Varna and Burgas, the report covers rental market
performance in terms of rates and yields. It also examines how best to maximise returns in the commercial
real estate market, while minimising investment risk and exploring the impact of a stalled construction
pipeline on a market that has suffered considerable rental weakness.

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View ... 7
SWOT  8
Political ... 9
Economic ..... 10
Business Environment  11
Industry Forecast .. 12
Office ... 12
Table: Office Forecast Rents (BGN per m2/month)     12
Table: Office Forecast Net Yield, 2010-2017 (%)     . . 12
Retail ... 13
Table: Retail Forecast Rents (BGN per m2/month)     13
Table: Retail Forecast Net Yield, 2010-2017 (%)     . . 13
Industrial .... 13
Table: Industrial Forecast Rents (BGN per m2/month)    13
Table: Industrial Forecast Net Yield, 2010-2017 (%)    . . 14
Construction and Infrastructure Forecast Scenario .... 14
Table: Bulgaria Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data, 2011-2016     . . 14
Table: Bulgaria Construction And Infrastructure Long Term Forecast, 2017-2022   . . . 16
Macroeconomic Forecasts ..... 19
Table: Bulgaria - Economic Activity  23
Industry Risk Reward Ratings  24
Europe - Risk/Reward Ratings .. 24
Table: Europe Real Estate Risk/Reward Ratings     . . . 24
Bulgaria - Risk/Reward Ratings ..... 24
Rewards ..... 25
Risks .... 25
Market Overview ... 26
Office .... 27
Table: Historic Rents - 2011-2012 (BGN per m2/month)   . . 28
Table: Net Yield, 2011-2012 (%)  . . . 29
Table: Terms Of Rental Contract/Leases - H212     . . . 29
Retail .... 29
Table: Historic Rents - 2011-2012 (BGN per m2/month)   . . 30
Table: Net Yield, 2011-2012 (%)  . . . 30
Table: Terms Of Rental Contract/Leases - H212     . . . 31
Bulgaria - Retail Sales Indicators ... 32
Table: Bulgaria Retail, 2011-2017  . 32
Industrial ..... 32
Table: Historic Rents - 2011-2012 (BGN per m2/month)   . . 33
Table: Net Yield, 2011-2012 (%)  . . . 33
Table: Terms Of Rental Contract/Leases - H212     . . . 33
Competitive Landscape .... 34
Company Profile .... 38
Balkanstroy JSC .. 38
East Balkan Properties ..... 40
Glavbolgarstroy .. 42
Holcim (Bulgaria) ..... 44
Mott MacDonald . 46
Trace Group Hold ..... 48
Demographic Forecast ..... 50
Demographic Outlook  50
Table: Bulgaria's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) . . . 51
Table: Bulgaria's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total). 53
Table: Bulgaria's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020    . . 54
Table: Bulgaria's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020  . . . 54
Methodology .... 55
Construction Industry ..... 56
Bank Lending .... 57
Real Estate/Construction Business Environment Rating ... 57
Table: Weighting Of Indicators   . 58
Sources  60

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