奥地利金属行业2013第三季度报告——Austria Metals Report Q3 2013

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关键字: 金属|Metals

2013.5

BMI's latest Austria Metals Report assesses the prospects for growth in the steel industry over the mediumterm following a decline in both consumption and output in 2012. It examines the risk and investment strategies of leading players in the industry. It also examines the impact of a decline in the eurozone,
particularly the German market, on Austrian exports. The performance of Austria's steel industry deteriorated in the first 10 months of 2012 when crude output declined 3.8% y-o-y to 6.23mnt. However,
output finally bounced back in the last two months of 2012 with November and December output rising by 12.8% and 25.8%, respectively.

Austrian steelmaking has suffered from the structural oversupply of standard grades, which has driven down prices on the EU market despite cutbacks in output. This has put downward pressure on margins, although there is no immediate sign of any idling of capacity. Despite the fact that volume has contracted, Austria still outperformed the 4.6% contraction reported for the whole of the EU. Austria's dominant steelmaker Voestalpine is also upbeat, expressing its confidence that business will pick up. While volume may not increase, sales could be boosted by a rise in product prices. Capacity constraints will prevent any further significant growth in crude steel beyond pre-crisis levels over the long term, although BMI expects investment in downstream sectors.
BMI Industry View 5

SWOT 7

Metals SWOT 7

Industry Forecast 8

Steel 8
Table: Austria - Steel Production & Consumption ('000 tonnes, unless stated otherwise) 11
Table: Austria - Steel Industry Historical Data ('000 tonnes, unless stated) 11

Commodities Forecast 12

Steel Price Forecast 12
Table: BMI Steel Forecast 12
Table: Steel Forecast 18

Monthly Metals Update 19

Iron Ore 20

Steel 22

Copper 24

Aluminium 25

Lead 26

Nickel 26

Tin 27

Zinc 28
Table: BMI Commodity Strategy 28
Table: Select Metals - Performance And BMI Forecasts 29

Competitive Landscape 30
Table: Austria - Largest Listed Companies 30

Company Profile 31

Voestalpine 31
Table: Voestalpine - Financial Results 33

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