比利时金属行业2013第三季度报告——Belgium Metals Report Q3 2013

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关键字: 金属|Metals

2013.5

Belgium's steel sector is being hit by flatlining demand from across the eurozone region, including from its main export market, Germany. Falling demand across the region has been exacerbated by an influx of cheap Chinese steel following increasing production from Chinese steel works during H1 2013 leading to overcapacity.

Pessimism surrounding future levels of demand across Europe has led to led to cut-backs being made by a number of the country's major steel producers including ArcelorMittal and Duferco. ArcellorMittal has pledged to keep its five core finishing lines open at Liege due to their ability to produce dedicated high quality products, which are still in demand within Europe. The company's ability to do so, however, is likely to rest on successful negotiations with workers unions. Furnace closures by both companies mean that Belgium will not return to pre-crisis volumes of production even after a recovery in European demand. The BMI Q3 2013 report analyses the impact this will have on Belgian steel production as a whole.

BMI Industry View 5

SWOT 6

Metals SWOT 6

Industry Forecast 7
Table: Belgium - Steel Production & Consumption ('000 tonnes, unless stated otherwise) 9
Table: Belgium- Steel Industry Historical Data ('000 tonnes, unless stated otherwise) 9

Commodities Forecast 11

Steel Price Forecast 11
Table: BMI Steel Forecast 11
Table: Steel Forecast 17

Commodity Strategy 18

Steel: Resilient For Now 20

Aluminium: Weak Outlook, With Substantial Downside Risks 22

Copper: The Trend Is Clear 23

Lead: Taking Lead From Autos Sector 23

Nickel: Struggling To Find Support 24

Tin: Outperforming A Weak Field 24

Zinc: Tougher Ride In H213 25
Table: Select Commodities - Performance & BMI Forecasts 26
Table: BMI Commodities Strategy 26

Competitive Landscape 27

Company Profile 29

Alcoa 29

ArcelorMittal 34

Methodology 39

Methodology 39
Table: Mining Business Environment Indicators 40
Table: Weighting Of Components 41

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