博茨瓦纳电力行业2013研究报告——Botswana Power Report Q3 2013

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关键字: 电力|Power

2013.5

BMI View: There is little prospect of change in Botswana's power market in the short term. With ample domestic supplies of coal, the country has the potential to become a regional exporter of energy. However,
ageing infrastructure and delays to expansion projects are holding back Botswana's potential - Morupule B's capacity is subjected to continual delays, while Morupule A produces only a fraction of the electricity that the country requires and is in need of refurbishment. That leaves Botswana dependent on expensive electricity imports, which are essential to power the activities of its lucrative diamond and other mining industries.

BMI forecasts that between 2013 and 2022, Botswana's overall power generation will increase by an annual average of 29.9%, to reach 5.1 terawatt hours (TWh). We expect all of this growth to come from new or existing coal-fired power plants. New capacity includes the long-delayed Morupule B power station and the thermal Mmashoro power station, both of which are scheduled to begin operations during our 10-year forecast period.

BMI Industry View 7

SWOT 8

Industry Forecast 10

Botswana Snapshot 10
Table: Country Snapshot - Economic &Demographic Data 10
Table: Country Snapshot - Power Sector 10

Botswana Forecast Scenario 11

Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity 11
Table: Botswana Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts, 2011-2016 11
Table: Botswana Total Electricity Generation Long-Term Forecasts, 2017-2022 12
Table: Botswana Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts, 2011-2016 13
Table: Botswana Electricity Generating Capacity Long-Term Forecasts, 2017-2022 13

Electricity Consumption 17
Table: Botswana Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts, 2011-2016 17
Table: Botswana Total Electricity Consumption Long-Term Forecasts, 2017-2022 17

Transmission And Distribution, Imports And Exports 19
Table: Botswana Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses Data And Forecasts, 2011-2016 19
Table: Botswana Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses Long-Term Forecasts, 2017-2022 19
Table: Botswana Trade Data And Forecasts, 2011-2016 20
Table: Botswana Trade Long-Term Forecasts, 2017-2022 20

Industry Risk/Reward Ratings 22

MEA Power Risk/Reward Ratings 22
Table: MENA Power Risk/Reward Ratings (Scores Out Of 100) 28
Table: SSA Power Risk/Reward Ratings (Scores Out Of 100) 28

Botswana Power Risk/Reward Ratings 29

Rewards 29

Risks 29

Market Overview 31

Key Policies And Market Structure 31
Table: SAPP Membership 37

Southern Africa Power Projects Database 41
Table: Southern Africa Major Projects - Power 41

Competitive Landscape 44

Regional Overview 50

MEA Industry Overview 50

Glossary 59
Table: Glossary Of Terms 59

Methodology 60

Methodology And Sources 60

Industry Forecasts 60

Power Industry - Data Methodology 61

Generation and Consumption Data 61

Electricity Generating Capacity Data 62

Power Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology 63
Table: Power Risk/Reward Indicators 65

Sources 66

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