巴西可再生能源2013第三季度报告——Brazil Renewables Report Q3 2013

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关键字: 可再生能源|Renewables

2013.5

BMI View: The potential completion of grid infrastructure for four wind parks before the end of this year,
as well as the progress made on the projects awarded by the country through major auctions during and before 2010 have led us to revise up our 2013 forecasts for non-hydropower renewable energy generation.

We have also revised up our medium-term forecasts based on the project pipeline, but have downgraded our long-term forecasts to account for a higher base and disappointing results in the 2012 power auctions.

The 2012 auctions also reveal problems of oversupply and economic infeasibility for the wind sector.

The potential completion of grid infrastructure for four wind parks before the end of this year, as well as the progress made on the projects awarded by the country through major auctions during and before 2010 have led us to revise up our 2013 forecasts for non-hydropower renewable energy generation. In particular, we expect non-hydropower renewable energy generation to grow by 13.1% in 2013, up from 8.1% previously.

BMI Industry View 5

SWOT 6

Industry Forecast 8

Brazil Renewables Forecast Scenario 8
Table: Brazil Total Electricity Generation, Historical Data And Forecasts, 2011 - 2016 8
Table: Table: Brazil Total Electricity Generation Long Term Forecasts, 2017 - 2022 9
Table: Table: Brazil Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts, 2011 - 2016 11
Table: Table: Brazil Electricity Generating Capacity Long Term Forecasts, 2017 - 2022 12

Brazil Renewables Projects Database 18
Table: Brazil Key Projects - Renewables 18

Industry Risk Reward Ratings 20

Brazil Renewables Risk/Reward Ratings 20

Rewards 20

Risks 20

Market Overview 22

Sustainable Energy Policy and Infrastructure 22

Targets (Renewables and Emissions) 22

Subsidies 22

Infrastructure 23

Competitive Landscape 24

Electrobrás 25

Tractebel Energia 25

Vestas Wind Systems A/S 25

Acciona 26

Impsa 26

Glossary 27
Table: Glossary of Terms 27

Methodology 28

Methodology and Sources 28

Industry Forecasts 28

Renewables Industry - Data Methodology 29

Power Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology 30
Table: Power Risk/Reward Indicators 32

Sources 33

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