巴西旅游业2013第三季度报告——Brazil Tourism Report Q3 2013

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关键字: 旅游|Tourism

2013.5

The Brazil Tourism Report examines the significant long-term potential being offered by the local tourism industry, especially with the country to host first the FIFA Football World Cup in 2014 and then the Olympic Games in Rio de Janeiro in 2016, but also flags short-term concerns about the lack of adequate nationwide airport infrastructure and hotel room supply in major Brazilian cities, both of which pose a clear challenge to the near-term future development of the local tourism sector.

The report also analyses the growth and risk management strategies being employed by some of the leading hotel players in the Brazilian tourism sector as they seek to maximise the tremendous growth opportunities being offered by the local market at the present time.

BMI Industry View 7

SWOT 9

Political 11

Economic 12

Business Environment 14

Industry Forecast 15
Table: Brazil Inbound Tourism, 2010-2017 17
Table: Brazil Inbound Tourism, Top 10 Markets by Arrivals, 2010-2017, ('000) 18

Outbound Tourism 20
Table: Brazil Outbound Tourism, 2010-2017 20
Table: Brazil Outbound Tourism, Top 10 Destinations by Departures, 2010-2017, ('000) 21
Table: Brazil International Tourism Receipts for Transport and Travel, 2010-2017 22
Table: Brazil Breakdown of Methods of Tourist Travel, 2010-2017 23
Table: Brazil Hotels and Restaurants Industry Value, 2010-2017 24

Macroeconomic Forecasts 26

Economic Outlook 26
Table: Brazil - Economic Activity 32

Industry Risk Reward Ratings 33
Table: Americas Tourism Risk Reward Ratings 33

Brazil's Risk Reward Ratings 33

Security Risk Rewards 34
Table: Americas Security Risk Reward ratings 34

Market Overview 36
Table: Global Hotel Group Presence in Brazil 37

Budget Hotels 40

Infrastructure 40
Table: Brazil Transport Infrastructure Projects - Airports 41
Table: Brazil Transport Infrastructure Projects - Ports 43

Company Profile 47

Brazil Hospitality Group 47

Global Industry Overview 50
Table: Total Receipts By Country, 2012-2013, (US$bn) 51
Table: Global Sporting Calendar, 2013-2022 53

Global Assumptions 55
Table: Global Assumptions 56
Table: Global And Regional Real GDP Growth, % chg y-o-y 58

Developed States 59
Table: Developed States, Real GDP Growth Forecasts 59

Emerging Markets 61
Table: Emerging Markets, Real GDP Growth Forecasts 61
Table: BMI Versus Bloomberg Consensus Real GDP Growth Forecasts (%) 63

Demographic Forecast 64
Table: Brazil's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 65
Table: Brazil's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 66
Table: Brazil's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 67
Table: Brazil's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 67

Methodology 68
Table: Tourism Risk/Reward Ratings Indicators 71
Table: Weighting Of Components 73

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